Lesson 4 of 8 · All lessons in this module
  1. Asset classes: return, risk and other characteristics
  2. Risk aversion and utilityVideo lesson
  3. Indifference curves and the capital allocation lineVideo lesson
  4. Measuring asset and portfolio riskVideo lesson
  5. Correlation and the power of diversificationVideo lesson
  6. Integrated cases: a foreign bond with currency, and pairs from a scenario table
  7. Minimum-variance and efficient frontiersVideo lesson
  8. Optimal risky portfolio and the optimal investor portfolioVideo lesson

Lesson 4 of 8 · 14 min

Measuring asset and portfolio risk

Portfolio return is a weighted average, but portfolio risk depends on weights, individual risks and how the assets move together.

In short

  • From historical data: mean = average return; sample variance and sample covariance divide by n−1n - 1; correlation = Cov ÷ (σ1σ2\sigma_1\sigma_2).
  • Portfolio return: Rp=∑wiRiR_p = \sum w_iR_i, weights summing to 1.
  • Two-asset variance: σp2=w12σ12+w22σ22+2w1w2ρ12σ1σ2\sigma_p^2 = w_1^2\sigma_1^2 + w_2^2\sigma_2^2 + 2w_1w_2\rho_{12}\sigma_1\sigma_2.
  • Correlation runs from −1 to +1: +1 move together always, −1 always opposite, 0 no linear relation.
  • Adding a riskier asset can raise return and lower risk if correlation is low enough.
  • A foreign asset is a two-part position: local return and currency return, with RD=(1+Rlc)(1+RFX)−1R_D = (1 + R_{lc})(1 + R_{FX}) - 1.

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