Lesson 6 of 6 · All lessons in this module
  1. The cost of capital and WACCVideo lesson
  2. How much financing, and what kind: business model and life cycle
  3. What drives the costs of debt and equity
  4. Modigliani-Miller without taxes: capital structure irrelevanceVideo lesson
  5. Modigliani-Miller with taxes, and the cost of financial distressVideo lesson
  6. Optimal and target capital structures, pecking order and agency costsVideo lesson

Lesson 6 of 6 · 15 min

Optimal and target capital structures, pecking order and agency costs

In practice firms balance the tax benefit of debt against expected distress costs, aim for a target range usually expressed in book values, and adjust for signalling and agency effects that the pecking order and free cash flow hypothesis describe.

In short

  • Static trade-off theory: VL=VU+tD−PV(costs of financial distress)V_L = V_U + tD - PV(\text{costs of financial distress}); the optimal capital structure is at D*, where the marginal tax benefit equals the marginal expected distress cost.
  • D* cannot be estimated precisely, so managers set a target (often a range); actual structure drifts with market values and opportunistic issuance.
  • Targets are usually in book values: market values fluctuate, management cares about capital invested *in* the business, and lenders and rating agencies use book figures.
  • Analysts estimate target weights from current market weights, trends and management statements, or peer averages; wd=D/E1+D/Ew_d = \frac{D/E}{1 + D/E}.
  • Pecking order (asymmetric information, signalling): internal funds first, then private debt, then public debt, equity last; no optimal structure.
  • Free cash flow hypothesis (agency costs): more debt disciplines managers to use cash wisely.

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