Lesson 2 of 6 · All lessons in this module
  1. Arbitrage and the law of one priceVideo lesson
  2. Replicating a forward commitmentVideo lesson
  3. Exploiting a mispriced forward, and the role of r and T
  4. The cost of carry: income and costs of owning the underlyingVideo lesson
  5. Commodities, convenience yield and carry by asset classVideo lesson
  6. FX forwards: carry as an interest rate differential

Lesson 2 of 6 · 13 min

Replicating a forward commitment

A forward can be rebuilt from the underlying plus risk-free borrowing or lending, so its price must equal the spot price grown at the risk-free rate.

In short

  • Replication recreates a derivative's cash flows with the underlying and borrowing or lending at the risk-free rate.
  • Long forward = borrow the spot price at r and buy the asset. Short forward = short-sell the asset and lend the proceeds at r.
  • Both routes give ST−F0(T)S_T - F_0(T) at T only if F0(T)=S0(1+r)TF_0(T) = S_0(1+r)^T: the no-arbitrage forward price for an asset with no other costs or benefits.
  • Long asset + short forward = a risk-free position that earns exactly r. Financed with a loan at r, it earns zero.
  • Replication is used when the law of one price holds: to price, mirror or offset a derivative position.

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